Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.661570 1.804721 1.956600 2.130094 2.323229 2.532113 2.775774
2026-01-11 1.465094 1.664326 1.887940 2.158905 2.480210 2.851335 3.315753
2026-01-18 1.332448 1.564381 1.835802 2.179744 2.608030 3.129172 3.819623
2026-01-25 1.226839 1.478414 1.782783 2.182698 2.701146 3.360155 4.276986
2026-02-01 1.121637 1.380131 1.701369 2.136112 2.718810 3.487173 4.601771
2026-02-08 1.040938 1.304331 1.639436 2.104980 2.747886 3.624373 4.945813
2026-02-15 0.978768 1.246730 1.594996 2.090575 2.794167 3.783842 5.331708
2026-02-22 0.945678 1.224321 1.594231 2.133453 2.920810 4.064428 5.922774
2026-03-01 0.897554 1.177914 1.556789 2.120469 2.963544 4.222546 6.338126
2026-03-08 0.848777 1.127350 1.509800 2.089268 2.974913 4.331299 6.681994
2026-03-15 0.793472 1.064452 1.441403 2.021344 2.924065 4.336675 6.850834
2026-03-22 0.766226 1.039730 1.426001 2.030909 2.992807 4.536651 7.372852
2026-03-29 0.743334 1.020627 1.418428 2.052995 3.084910 4.786205 8.019757
2026-04-05 0.722593 1.003505 1.412659 2.077196 3.181927 5.052515 8.731632
2026-04-12 0.702138 0.985592 1.404405 2.096372 3.271241 5.312590 9.464479
2026-04-19 0.679175 0.962640 1.386950 2.099047 3.331811 5.525711 10.130825
2026-04-26 0.646814 0.923819 1.342755 2.054646 3.306408 5.577698 10.469718
2026-05-03 0.620121 0.892509 1.308742 2.024982 3.304444 5.672389 10.909968
2026-05-10 0.598726 0.868483 1.285078 2.011255 3.329838 5.821007 11.487471
2026-05-17 0.590265 0.864326 1.293016 2.052106 3.458296 6.183462 12.602683
2026-05-24 0.571370 0.842734 1.271406 2.039736 3.485381 6.343533 13.265534
2026-05-31 0.550153 0.816568 1.241050 2.010009 3.476815 6.428637 13.757480
2026-06-07 0.523371 0.780440 1.192640 1.945275 3.395700 6.353602 13.836949